Our Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Prediction: 2-1
Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza in the Colombia Primera A is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 5, 2025. Our correct score prediction favors a 2-1 home triumph, but considering both teams’ ability to find the net, BTTS is also a solid alternative bet.
This Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Deportivo Pasto's Last Match – Once Caldas vs Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto must win to recover from their recent 0-4 Colombia Cup defeat against Once Caldas on October 2 and regain momentum. In that match, Deportivo Pasto recorded 46% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Once Caldas | 54% | 16 (11) | - | 81 |
 Deportivo Pasto | 46% | 8 (4) | - | 56 |
Alianza's Last Match – Alianza vs Llaneros
Alianza will want to continue their winning form after a 3-1 Colombia Primera A victory over Llaneros, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Alianza recorded 68% possession, attempting 15 shots on goal, with 11 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Alianza | 68% | 15 (11) | 2.01 | 44 |
 Llaneros | 32% | 5 (1) | 1.31 | 37 |
Deportivo Pasto vs Alianza Stats
Key Stats
| Deportivo Pasto | Alianza | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.06 | Attacking Strength | 1.17 |
| 1.28 | Defence Strength | 1.14 |
| 0.5 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 1/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 0.6 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Deportivo Pasto are averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Alianza average 1.3 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Deportivo Pasto 6-16
Alianza 13-14
What are the odds for this match?
Deportivo Pasto to win: @2.375
Draw: @3.1
Alianza to win: @3.1
Lineups
Deportivo Pasto: Jhon Mendez, Yoshan Valois, Joyce Esteban Ossa Rios, Johan Caicedo, Freddy Espinal Valverde, Santiago Jimenez, Nicolas Gil Uribe, Facundo Bone, Andres Cabezas, Mauricio Castano Grisales, Luis Caicedo
Alianza: Jesus Munoz, Kalazan Suarez, Pedro Franco, Carlos Lucumi, Ruben Manjarres, Jair Castillo, Edwin Torres, Juan Camilo Chaverra, Wiston Fernandez, Kevin Moreno, Yilson Rosales