Our Plymouth vs Derby Prediction: 2-1
Plymouth vs Derby in the England Championship is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 15, 2025. We predict a 2-1 home victory, but with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS (Both Teams to Score) is another strong betting option.
This Plymouth vs Derby prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Plymouth's Last Match – Portsmouth vs Plymouth
Plymouth will seek to keep their streak alive after a 2-1 England Championship victory over Portsmouth on March 12. In that match, Plymouth had 19% possession and 5 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Portsmouth | 81% | 8 (3) | 1.43 | 56 |
 Plymouth | 19% | 5 (3) | 0.25 | 12 |
Derby's Last Match – Derby vs Coventry
Derby will hope to extend their good run following a 2-0 England Championship win against Coventry on March 11. In that match, Derby recorded 32% possession, attempting 4 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Derby | 32% | 4 (2) | 0.79 | 29 |
 Coventry | 68% | 7 (4) | 0.73 | 69 |
Plymouth vs Derby Stats
Key Stats
| Plymouth | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.05 | Attacking Strength | 0.57 |
| 1.9 | Defence Strength | 1.26 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 0.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Plymouth are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Derby average 0.6 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Plymouth 13-15
Derby 6-12
What are the odds for this match?
Plymouth to win: @2.8
Draw: @3.2
Derby to win: @2.55
Over 2.5 Goals: @2.05
Lineups
Plymouth (3-4-2-1) : Conor Hazard, Maksym Talovierov, Nikola Katic, Kornel Szucs, Bali Mumba, Darko Gyabi, Jordan Houghton, Tymoteusz Puchacz, Ryan Hardie, Callum Wright, Mustapha Bundu
Derby (3-5-2) : Jacob Widell Zetterstrom, Nat Phillips, Matt Clarke, Craig Forsyth, Kane Wilson, Ebou Adams, Harrison Armstrong, Liam Thompson, Callum Elder, Jerry Yates, Marcus Harness
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