Our Dundalk vs Derry City Prediction: 1-1
Dundalk vs Derry City in the Republic of Ireland Premier Division is scheduled for an 18:45 GMT kick-off on Friday April 10, 2026. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 1-1 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
This Dundalk vs Derry City prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Dundalk's Last Match – Dundalk vs St Patricks
Dundalk will hope to extend their good run following a 2-0 Republic of Ireland Premier Division win against St Patricks on April 6. In that match, Dundalk recorded 34% possession, firing 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Dundalk | 34% | 0 (5) | 0.53 | 35 |
 St Patricks | 66% | 0 (2) | 1.55 | 71 |
Derry City's Last Match – Sligo Rovers vs Derry City
Derry City should win to turn things around after settling for a 0-0 Republic of Ireland Premier Division draw against Sligo Rovers on April 6. In that match, Derry City controlled 51% of possession and managed 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sligo Rovers | 49% | 0 (0) | 0.34 | 42 |
 Derry City | 51% | 0 (4) | 0.34 | 44 |
Dundalk vs Derry City Stats
Key Stats
| Dundalk | Derry City | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.73 | Attacking Strength | 1.05 |
| 1.05 | Defence Strength | 0.8 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Dundalk are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Derry City average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Dundalk 18-13
Derry City 12-13
What are the odds for this match?
Dundalk to win: @2.5
Draw: @3.25
Derry City to win: @2.625