Our Mexico vs Ecuador Prediction: 1-1
Mexico vs Ecuador in the International Match is scheduled for an 10:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday October 14, 2025. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Mexico vs Ecuador prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mexico's Last Match – Mexico vs South Korea
Mexico will look to build on their last result following a 2-2 International Match stalemate against South Korea on September 10. In that match, Mexico had 54% possession and 6 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mexico | 54% | 0 (6) | 0.65 | 36 |
 South Korea | 46% | 0 (3) | 0.59 | 20 |
Ecuador's Last Match – Ecuador vs Argentina
Ecuador must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 1-0 South America - World Cup Qualifying victory over Argentina in their last outing. In that match, Ecuador recorded 43% possession, firing 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ecuador | 43% | 0 (4) | 1.81 | 26 |
 Argentina | 57% | 0 (0) | 0.3 | 64 |
Mexico vs Ecuador Stats
Key Stats
| Mexico | Ecuador | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | Attacking Strength | 1.04 |
| 1.23 | Defence Strength | 0.72 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 9/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mexico are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Ecuador average 0.8 scored and 0.1 conceded per game.