Our Mexico vs Ecuador Prediction: 1-1
Mexico vs Ecuador in the International Match is scheduled for an 02:30 GMT kick-off on Wednesday October 15, 2025. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Mexico vs Ecuador prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mexico's Last Match – Mexico vs Colombia
Mexico will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-4 International Match loss to Colombia on October 12. In that match, Mexico had 59% possession and 5 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mexico | 59% | 5 (3) | - | 43 |
 Colombia | 41% | 6 (4) | - | 28 |
Ecuador's Last Match – USA vs Ecuador
Ecuador must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 1-1 International Match draw against USA on October 11. In that match, Ecuador recorded 42% possession, firing 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 USA | 58% | 0 (4) | - | 59 |
 Ecuador | 42% | 0 (5) | - | 36 |
Mexico vs Ecuador Stats
Key Stats
| Mexico | Ecuador | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | Attacking Strength | 1.06 |
| 1.25 | Defence Strength | 0.72 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 9/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mexico are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Ecuador average 0.9 scored and 0.2 conceded per game.