Our Morocco vs Ecuador Prediction: 1-0
Morocco vs Ecuador in the International Match is scheduled for an 20:15 GMT kick-off on Friday March 27, 2026. Morocco’s home form gives them the edge, and a single goal could be enough to earn them a 1-0 victory over Ecuador.
This Morocco vs Ecuador prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Morocco's Last Match – Senegal vs Morocco
Morocco must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-1 Africa Cup of Nations defeat against Senegal on January 18. In that match, Morocco had 50% possession and 12 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Senegal | 50% | 9 (7) | 1.74 | 42 |
 Morocco | 50% | 12 (3) | 2.18 | 56 |
Ecuador's Last Match – Ecuador vs New Zealand
Ecuador will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-0 International Match triumph against New Zealand on November 19. In that match, Ecuador controlled 72% of possession and managed 11 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ecuador | 72% | 11 (3) | 2.65 | 0 |
 New Zealand | 28% | 4 (0) | 0.45 | 0 |
Morocco vs Ecuador Stats
Key Stats
| Morocco | Ecuador | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.88 | Attacking Strength | 0.84 |
| 0.09 | Defence Strength | 0.63 |
| 2.3 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 7/10 |
| 7/10 | Clean Sheets | 7/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 1/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 0.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Morocco are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per match, while Ecuador average 0.7 scored and 0.3 conceded per game.