Our Paraguay vs Ecuador Prediction: 1-0
Paraguay vs Ecuador in the South America - World Cup Qualifying is scheduled for an 23:30 GMT kick-off on Thursday September 4, 2025. We anticipate a close game, with Paraguay securing a 1-0 win thanks to a crucial moment of quality against Ecuador.
This Paraguay vs Ecuador prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Paraguay's Last Match – Brazil vs Paraguay
After suffering a 0-1 South America - World Cup Qualifying loss to Brazil, Paraguay must win to get back on track. In that match, Paraguay recorded 27% possession, firing 2 shots at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brazil | 73% | 10 (4) | 1.83 | 72 |
 Paraguay | 27% | 2 (1) | 0.23 | 33 |
Ecuador's Last Match – Peru vs Ecuador
Ecuador will be determined to find a winning touch after a 0-0 South America - World Cup Qualifying draw against Peru on June 11. In that match, Ecuador recorded 48% possession, attempting 7 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Peru | 52% | 10 (5) | 0.7 | 51 |
 Ecuador | 48% | 7 (5) | 0.84 | 36 |
Paraguay vs Ecuador Stats
Key Stats
| Paraguay | Ecuador | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8 | Attacking Strength | 0.65 |
| 0.65 | Defence Strength | 0.47 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 8/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 2/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Paraguay are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Ecuador average 0.8 scored and 0.2 conceded per game.
Paraguay 12-7
Ecuador 8-2
What are the odds for this match?
Paraguay to win: @2.45
Draw: @3.3
Ecuador to win: @2.8
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