Our El Nacional vs Emelec Prediction: 1-1
El Nacional vs Emelec in the Ecuador LigaPro Serie A is scheduled for an 20:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday November 9, 2025. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key El Nacional vs Emelec stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
El Nacional's Last Match – SD Aucas vs El Nacional
El Nacional will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 3-3 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A draw with SD Aucas on November 1. In that match, El Nacional had 59% possession and 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 SD Aucas | 41% | 0 (5) | 1.07 | 34 |
 El Nacional | 59% | 0 (5) | 1.23 | 40 |
Emelec's Last Match – Macara vs Emelec
Emelec will look to get back on track following a 0-3 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A loss against Macara on November 2. In that match, Emelec controlled 46% of possession and managed 1 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Macara | 54% | 0 (9) | 2.25 | 49 |
 Emelec | 46% | 0 (1) | 0.48 | 35 |
El Nacional vs Emelec Stats
Key Stats
| El Nacional | Emelec | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.61 | Attacking Strength | 0.92 |
| 1.34 | Defence Strength | 0.75 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
El Nacional are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while Emelec average 1.0 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
El Nacional 10-19
Emelec 10-9
What are the odds for this match?
El Nacional to win: @2.7
Draw: @3.3
Emelec to win: @2.55
Manta FC 
Mushuc Runa 
Tecnico Universitario 
Vinotinto Ecuador