Our New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive FC Prediction: 3-1
New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive FC in the USA US Open Cup is scheduled for an 01:30 GMT kick-off on Thursday April 2, 2026. We’re backing a 3-1 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
This New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive FC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
New Mexico United's Last Match – New Mexico United vs Colorado Switchbacks FC
New Mexico United will hope to extend their good run following a 3-2 USA USL Championship win against Colorado Switchbacks FC on March 28. In that match, New Mexico United recorded 51% possession, attempting 12 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 New Mexico United | 51% | 12 (4) | 1.49 | 34 |
 Colorado Switchbacks FC | 49% | 7 (3) | 2.12 | 34 |
El Paso Locomotive FC's Last Match – Sacramento Republic vs El Paso Locomotive FC
El Paso Locomotive FC will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-1 USA USL Championship success over Sacramento Republic on March 29. In that match, El Paso Locomotive FC saw 39% of the ball and 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sacramento Republic | 61% | 0 (3) | 1.79 | 82 |
 El Paso Locomotive FC | 39% | 0 (3) | 1.15 | 32 |
New Mexico United vs El Paso Locomotive FC Stats
Key Stats
| New Mexico United | El Paso Locomotive FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.8 | Attacking Strength | 1.07 |
| 0.85 | Defence Strength | 0.79 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
New Mexico United are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while El Paso Locomotive FC average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
New Mexico United 19-18
El Paso Locomotive FC 17-12
What are the odds for this match?
New Mexico United to win: @1.833
Draw: @3.5
El Paso Locomotive FC to win: @3.5