Our Benfica vs Estrela Prediction: 3-1
Benfica vs Estrela in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 18:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 25, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This Benfica vs Estrela prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Benfica's Last Match – Benfica vs Braga
Benfica will be looking to bounce back after a 1-3 Portugal League Cup defeat against Braga on January 7. In that match, Benfica controlled 54% of possession and managed 15 shots on goal, with 9 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Benfica | 54% | 15 (9) | 1.85 | 46 |
 Braga | 46% | 6 (4) | 2.34 | 26 |
Estrela's Last Match – Wolfsburg vs Estrela
Estrela will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 Club Friendly List share of the spoils with Wolfsburg on January 6.
Benfica vs Estrela Stats
Key Stats
| Benfica | Estrela | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.43 | Attacking Strength | 0.82 |
| 0.65 | Defence Strength | 1.5 |
| 2.3 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Benfica are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Estrela average 1.9 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
FC Porto 
Sporting 
Benfica 
Gil Vicente 
Braga 
Guimaraes 
Moreirense 
Famalicao 
Estoril 
Rio Ave 
Alverca 
Estrela 
Nacional 
Santa Clara 
Casa Pia 
Arouca 
Tondela