Our Benfica vs Estrela Prediction: 3-1
Benfica vs Estrela in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 18:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 25, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This Benfica vs Estrela prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Benfica's Last Match – Juventus vs Benfica
Benfica will be looking to bounce back after a 0-2 UEFA Champions League defeat against Juventus on January 21. In that match, Benfica controlled 54% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Juventus | 46% | 9 (4) | 1.35 | 48 |
Benfica | 54% | 8 (3) | 1.38 | 65 |
Estrela's Last Match – Estrela vs Estoril
Estrela will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-5 Portugal Primeira Liga defeat at the hands of Estoril on January 19. In that match, Estrela recorded 40% possession, attempting 5 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Estrela | 40% | 5 (2) | 0.21 | 32 |
Estoril | 60% | 7 (6) | 2.29 | 64 |
Benfica vs Estrela Stats
Key Stats
| Benfica | Estrela | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | Attacking Strength | 0.81 |
| 0.65 | Defence Strength | 1.51 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Benfica are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Estrela average 1.4 scored and 2.2 conceded per game.



Juventus
Benfica
Estrela
Estoril
FC Porto
Sporting
Benfica
Braga
Gil Vicente
Famalicao
Moreirense
Estoril
Guimaraes
Alverca
Arouca
Estrela
Casa Pia
Nacional
Rio Ave
Tondela
Santa Clara