Our Benfica vs Estrela Prediction: 3-1
Benfica vs Estrela in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 18:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 25, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This Benfica vs Estrela prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Benfica's Last Match – Juventus vs Benfica
Benfica will be looking to bounce back after a 0-2 UEFA Champions League defeat against Juventus on January 21. In that match, Benfica controlled 54% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Juventus | 46% | 9 (4) | 1.35 | 48 |
 Benfica | 54% | 8 (3) | 1.38 | 65 |
Estrela's Last Match – Estrela vs Estoril
Estrela will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-5 Portugal Primeira Liga defeat at the hands of Estoril on January 19. In that match, Estrela recorded 40% possession, attempting 5 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Estrela | 40% | 5 (2) | 0.21 | 32 |
 Estoril | 60% | 7 (6) | 2.29 | 64 |
Benfica vs Estrela Stats
Key Stats
| Benfica | Estrela | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | Attacking Strength | 0.81 |
| 0.65 | Defence Strength | 1.51 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Benfica are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Estrela average 1.4 scored and 2.2 conceded per game.