Our Burkina Faso vs Ethiopia Prediction: 1-0
Burkina Faso vs Ethiopia in the Africa - World Cup Qualifying is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 12, 2025. A hard-fought battle awaits, but Burkina Faso is likely to edge past Ethiopia with a narrow 1-0 scoreline.
This Burkina Faso vs Ethiopia prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Burkina Faso's Last Match – Sierra Leone vs Burkina Faso
Burkina Faso will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 Africa - World Cup Qualifying victory over Sierra Leone, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Burkina Faso recorded 72% possession, firing 6 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sierra Leone | 28% | 10 (6) | - | 93 |
 Burkina Faso | 72% | 6 (4) | - | 54 |
Ethiopia's Last Match – Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau
Ethiopia will aim to maintain their momentum following a 1-0 Africa - World Cup Qualifying triumph against Guinea-Bissau on October 8. In that match, Ethiopia controlled 46% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ethiopia | 46% | 7 (2) | - | 42 |
 Guinea-Bissau | 54% | 8 (2) | - | 72 |
Burkina Faso vs Ethiopia Stats
Key Stats
| Burkina Faso | Ethiopia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.17 | Attacking Strength | 0.33 |
| 0.76 | Defence Strength | 0.84 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Burkina Faso are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Ethiopia average 1.0 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.
Ghana 
Madagascar 
Mali 
Comoros 
Central African Rep 
Chad