Our Burkina Faso vs Ethiopia Prediction: 1-0
Burkina Faso vs Ethiopia in the Africa - World Cup Qualifying is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 12, 2025. A hard-fought battle awaits, but Burkina Faso is likely to edge past Ethiopia with a narrow 1-0 scoreline.
This Burkina Faso vs Ethiopia prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Burkina Faso's Last Match – Sierra Leone vs Burkina Faso
Burkina Faso will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 Africa - World Cup Qualifying victory over Sierra Leone, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Burkina Faso recorded 72% possession, firing 6 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sierra Leone | 28% | 10 (6) | - | 93 |
 Burkina Faso | 72% | 6 (4) | - | 54 |
Ethiopia's Last Match – Ethiopia vs Guinea-Bissau
Ethiopia will aim to maintain their momentum following a 1-0 Africa - World Cup Qualifying triumph against Guinea-Bissau on October 8. In that match, Ethiopia controlled 46% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ethiopia | 46% | 7 (2) | - | 42 |
 Guinea-Bissau | 54% | 8 (2) | - | 72 |
Burkina Faso vs Ethiopia Stats
Key Stats
| Burkina Faso | Ethiopia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.17 | Attacking Strength | 0.33 |
| 0.76 | Defence Strength | 0.84 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Burkina Faso are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Ethiopia average 1.0 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.