Our Excelsior vs Ajax Prediction: 1-2
Excelsior vs Ajax in the Netherlands Eredivisie is scheduled for an 11:15 GMT kick-off on Sunday February 1, 2026. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks like a solid alternative given both teams’ recent scoring form.
Our prediction is supported by key Excelsior vs Ajax stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Excelsior's Last Match – FC Twente vs Excelsior
Excelsior will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 0-0 Netherlands Eredivisie draw with FC Twente on January 24. In that match, Excelsior saw 35% of the ball and created 4 goal attempts, with 0 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 FC Twente | 65% | 9 (4) | 1.19 | 74 |
 Excelsior | 35% | 4 (0) | 0.99 | 23 |
Ajax's Last Match – Ajax vs Olympiacos
Ajax will be eager to respond after suffering a 1-2 UEFA Champions League defeat at the hands of Olympiacos on January 28. In that match, Ajax recorded 63% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ajax | 63% | 6 (4) | 1.83 | 46 |
 Olympiacos | 37% | 6 (3) | 0.54 | 43 |
Excelsior vs Ajax Stats
Key Stats
| Excelsior | Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.57 | Attacking Strength | 1.56 |
| 0.85 | Defence Strength | 1.08 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 2.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Excelsior are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Ajax average 2.5 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.
Excelsior 12-16
Ajax 25-19
What are the odds for this match?
Excelsior to win: @5.25
Draw: @4
Ajax to win: @1.6