Our Ajax vs Excelsior Prediction: 2-1
Ajax vs Excelsior in the Netherlands Eredivisie is scheduled for an 17:45 GMT kick-off on Saturday November 22, 2025. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key Ajax vs Excelsior stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Ajax's Last Match – FC Utrecht vs Ajax
Ajax must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-2 Netherlands Eredivisie defeat against FC Utrecht on November 9. In that match, Ajax recorded 69% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
FC Utrecht | 31% | 9 (6) | 1.29 | 36 |
Ajax | 69% | 7 (5) | 0.54 | 54 |
Excelsior's Last Match – Excelsior vs Heracles
Excelsior will look to get back on track following a 1-2 Netherlands Eredivisie loss against Heracles on November 8. In that match, Excelsior recorded 46% possession, attempting 7 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Excelsior | 46% | 7 (4) | 1.53 | 42 |
Heracles | 54% | 8 (5) | 1 | 68 |
Ajax vs Excelsior Stats
Key Stats
| Ajax | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9 | Attacking Strength | 0.65 |
| 0.72 | Defence Strength | 1.52 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Ajax are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per match, while Excelsior average 0.9 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Ajax 13-25
Excelsior 9-13
What are the odds for this match?
Ajax to win: @1.333
Draw: @5
Excelsior to win: @8



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