Our Ajax vs Excelsior Prediction: 2-1
Ajax vs Excelsior in the Netherlands Eredivisie is scheduled for an 17:45 GMT kick-off on Saturday November 22, 2025. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key Ajax vs Excelsior stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Ajax's Last Match – FC Utrecht vs Ajax
Ajax must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-2 Netherlands Eredivisie defeat against FC Utrecht on November 9. In that match, Ajax recorded 69% possession, firing 7 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 FC Utrecht | 31% | 9 (6) | 1.29 | 36 |
 Ajax | 69% | 7 (5) | 0.54 | 54 |
Excelsior's Last Match – Excelsior vs Heracles
Excelsior will look to get back on track following a 1-2 Netherlands Eredivisie loss against Heracles on November 8. In that match, Excelsior recorded 46% possession, attempting 7 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Excelsior | 46% | 7 (4) | 1.53 | 42 |
 Heracles | 54% | 8 (5) | 1 | 68 |
Ajax vs Excelsior Stats
Key Stats
| Ajax | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9 | Attacking Strength | 0.65 |
| 0.72 | Defence Strength | 1.52 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Ajax are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per match, while Excelsior average 0.9 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Ajax 13-25
Excelsior 9-13
What are the odds for this match?
Ajax to win: @1.333
Draw: @5.5
Excelsior to win: @8
Lineups
Ajax (4-2-3-1) : Remko Pasveer, Anton Gaaei, Josip Sutalo, Youri Baas, Gerald Alders, Youri Regeer, Kenneth Taylor, Oliver Valaker Edvardsen, Oscar Gloukh, Mika Godts, Wout Weghorst
Excelsior (4-3-3) : Stijn Van Gassel, Ilias Bronkhorst, Casper Widell, Rick Meissen, Martens Nolan, Irakli Yegoian, Lennard Hartjes, Noah Naujoks, Derensili Sanches Fernandes, Jerolldino Armantrading, Gyan De Regt
PSV 
Feyenoord 
Ajax 
NEC 
AZ 
FC Groningen 
FC Twente 
FC Utrecht 
Heerenveen 
Sparta Rotterdam 
Fortuna Sittard 
PEC Zwolle 
Go Ahead Eagles 
Excelsior 
Telstar 
Heracles 
NAC 
FC Volendam