Our Excelsior vs AZ Prediction: 1-1
Excelsior vs AZ in the Netherlands Eredivisie is scheduled for an 17:45 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 14, 2026. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
Our prediction is supported by key Excelsior vs AZ stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Excelsior's Last Match – NAC vs Excelsior
Excelsior will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-0 Netherlands Eredivisie success over NAC on February 6. In that match, Excelsior controlled 51% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 NAC | 49% | 11 (7) | 1.07 | 48 |
 Excelsior | 51% | 10 (6) | 0.85 | 38 |
AZ's Last Match – AZ vs Ajax
AZ will look to build on their last result following a 1-1 Netherlands Eredivisie stalemate against Ajax on February 8. In that match, AZ had 38% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 AZ | 38% | 9 (6) | 1.68 | 30 |
 Ajax | 62% | 10 (3) | 0.96 | 71 |
Excelsior vs AZ Stats
Key Stats
| Excelsior | AZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.63 | Attacking Strength | 0.92 |
| 0.85 | Defence Strength | 0.8 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Excelsior are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while AZ average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Excelsior 13-14
AZ 17-13
What are the odds for this match?
Excelsior to win: @3.4
Draw: @3.7
AZ to win: @2
Lineups
Excelsior (4-3-3) : Stijn Van Gassel, Ilias Bronkhorst, Casper Widell, Rick Meissen, Arthur Zagre, Lewis Schouten, Irakli Yegoian, Lennard Hartjes, Derensili Sanches Fernandes, Noah Naujoks, Gyan De Regt
AZ (4-5-1) : Jeroen Zoet, Mees De Wit, Alexandre Penetra, Wouter Goes, Mateo Chavez, Rio Robbemond, Kasper Boogaard, Weslley Patati, Troy Parrott, Ro-Zangelo Daal, Jizz Hornkamp