Our AZ vs Excelsior Prediction: 4-1
AZ vs Excelsior in the Netherlands Eredivisie is scheduled for an 15:45 GMT kick-off on Sunday December 14, 2025. A 4-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
Our prediction is supported by key AZ vs Excelsior stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
AZ's Last Match – Heerenveen vs AZ
AZ will be looking to bounce back after a 1-3 Netherlands Eredivisie defeat against Heerenveen on November 23. In that match, AZ had 52% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Heerenveen | 48% | 14 (10) | 3.08 | 55 |
 AZ | 52% | 9 (1) | 0.98 | 29 |
Excelsior's Last Match – Ajax vs Excelsior
Excelsior will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-1 Netherlands Eredivisie success over Ajax on November 22. In that match, Excelsior saw 36% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ajax | 64% | 10 (6) | 1.29 | 98 |
 Excelsior | 36% | 7 (3) | 0.42 | 44 |
AZ vs Excelsior Stats
Key Stats
| AZ | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.53 | Attacking Strength | 0.79 |
| 1.22 | Defence Strength | 1.42 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
AZ are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while Excelsior average 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.