Our Heerenveen vs Excelsior Prediction: 4-1
Heerenveen vs Excelsior in the Netherlands Eredivisie is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday October 4, 2025. We’re backing a 4-1 home victory, but with both teams creating plenty of chances, over 2.5 goals is another strong betting option.
This Heerenveen vs Excelsior prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Heerenveen's Last Match – FC Utrecht vs Heerenveen
Determined to get back to winning ways, Heerenveen must win after their 2-2 Netherlands Eredivisie draw against FC Utrecht on September 28. In that match, Heerenveen saw 48% of the ball and created 6 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 FC Utrecht | 52% | 10 (4) | 2.07 | 42 |
 Heerenveen | 48% | 6 (3) | 1.03 | 36 |
Excelsior's Last Match – Excelsior vs PSV
After suffering a 1-2 Netherlands Eredivisie loss to PSV, Excelsior must win to get back on track. In that match, Excelsior controlled 36% of possession and managed 9 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Excelsior | 36% | 9 (5) | 2.1 | 51 |
 PSV | 64% | 14 (8) | 2.51 | 54 |
Heerenveen vs Excelsior Stats
Key Stats
| Heerenveen | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.07 | Attacking Strength | 0.74 |
| 0.81 | Defence Strength | 1.91 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Heerenveen are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Excelsior average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Heerenveen 14-15
Excelsior 10-17
What are the odds for this match?
Heerenveen to win: @1.6
Draw: @4.333
Excelsior to win: @5
Lineups
Heerenveen (4-2-3-1) : Bernt Klaverboer, Oliver Braude, Joris Overeem, Maas Willemsen, Vasilios Zagaritis, Marcus Linday, Luuk Brouwers, Jacob Trenskow, Ringo Meerveld, Maxence Rivera, Dylan Vente
Excelsior (4-2-3-1) : Stijn Van Gassel, Ilias Bronkhorst, Casper Widell, Rick Meissen, Arthur Zagre, Noah Naujoks, Adam Carlen, Derensili Sanches Fernandes, Irakli Yegoian, Gyan De Regt, Szymon Wlodarczyk
PSV 
Feyenoord 
AZ 
NEC 
FC Utrecht 
Ajax 
FC Groningen 
FC Twente 
Heerenveen 
Fortuna Sittard 
Sparta Rotterdam 
Go Ahead Eagles 
FC Volendam 
Excelsior 
PEC Zwolle 
NAC 
Heracles 
Telstar