Our Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar Prediction: 2-1
Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar in the Peru Liga 1 is scheduled for an 01:30 GMT kick-off on Tuesday March 10, 2026. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
Our prediction is supported by key Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Alianza Lima's Last Match – UTC Cajamarca vs Alianza Lima
Alianza Lima will look to carry forward their winning form after a 1-0 Peru Liga 1 success over UTC Cajamarca on February 28. In that match, Alianza Lima controlled 55% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 UTC Cajamarca | 45% | 8 (4) | 0.4 | 30 |
 Alianza Lima | 55% | 6 (2) | 0.47 | 41 |
FBC Melgar's Last Match – Cienciano vs FBC Melgar
FBC Melgar must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 1-1 Copa Sudamericana draw against Cienciano on March 6. In that match, FBC Melgar saw 49% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cienciano | 51% | 13 (3) | 1.27 | 47 |
 FBC Melgar | 49% | 7 (3) | 0.37 | 42 |
Alianza Lima vs FBC Melgar Stats
Key Stats
| Alianza Lima | FBC Melgar | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.7 | Attacking Strength | 0.94 |
| 1.36 | Defence Strength | 0.79 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Alianza Lima are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while FBC Melgar average 1.7 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Alianza Lima 14-8
FBC Melgar 17-11
What are the odds for this match?
Alianza Lima to win: @1.571
Draw: @3.6
FBC Melgar to win: @6
Lineups
Alianza Lima (4-1-4-1) : Alejandro Duarte, Marco Huaman, Renzo Garces, Mateo Antoni Pavon, Luis Advincula, Esteban Pavez, Fernando Gaibor, Jairo Velez, Alan Cantero, Kevin Quevedo, Paolo Guerrero
FBC Melgar (4-1-4-1) : Carlos Caceda, Elias Alejandro Ramos, Matias Lazo, Jesus Alcantar, Matias Zegarra, Javier Salas, Franco Zanelatto, Walter Tandazo, Nicolas Quagliata, Johnny Vidales, Bernardo Cuesta
CD Los Chankas 
Alianza Lima 
Cienciano 
Universitario de Deportes 
UTC Cajamarca 
Cusco FC 
Comerciantes Unidos 
Sporting Cristal 
Alianza Atletico 
FBC Melgar 
Sport Huancayo 
Sport Boys 
Atletico Grau