Our Galatasaray vs Atletico Madrid Prediction: 1-2
Galatasaray vs Atletico Madrid in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 17:45 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 21, 2026. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks like a solid alternative given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Galatasaray vs Atletico Madrid prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Galatasaray's Last Match – Galatasaray vs Gazisehir Gaziantep FK
Galatasaray will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 Türkiye Super Lig draw with Gazisehir Gaziantep FK on January 17. In that match, Galatasaray saw 68% of the ball and created 10 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Galatasaray | 68% | 10 (3) | 1.58 | 57 |
 Gazisehir Gaziantep FK | 32% | 7 (5) | 0.98 | 19 |
Atletico Madrid's Last Match – Atletico Madrid vs CD Alaves
Determined to maintain their recent success, Atletico Madrid must win following their 1-0 Spain La Liga victory against CD Alaves on January 18. In that match, Atletico Madrid had 54% possession and 14 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico Madrid | 54% | 14 (6) | 1.62 | 70 |
 CD Alaves | 46% | 7 (0) | 0.81 | 37 |
Galatasaray vs Atletico Madrid Stats
Key Stats
| Galatasaray | Atletico Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.66 | Attacking Strength | 1.39 |
| 1.01 | Defence Strength | 1.18 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Galatasaray are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Atletico Madrid average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Galatasaray 19-10
Atletico Madrid 16-12
What are the odds for this match?
Galatasaray to win: @3.1
Draw: @3.9
Atletico Madrid to win: @2.05