Our AC Milan vs Genoa Prediction: 3-1
AC Milan vs Genoa in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Thursday January 8, 2026. We’re backing a 3-1 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
Our prediction is supported by key AC Milan vs Genoa stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
AC Milan's Last Match – Cagliari vs AC Milan
Determined to maintain their recent success, AC Milan must win following their 1-0 Italy Serie A victory against Cagliari on January 2. In that match, AC Milan had 54% possession and 6 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Cagliari | 46% | 5 (1) | 0.37 | 32 |
 AC Milan | 54% | 6 (4) | 0.92 | 57 |
Genoa's Last Match – Genoa vs Pisa
Genoa will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 Italy Serie A share of the spoils with Pisa on January 3. In that match, Genoa recorded 62% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Genoa | 62% | 6 (4) | 0.54 | 49 |
 Pisa | 38% | 6 (2) | 0.67 | 53 |
AC Milan vs Genoa Stats
Key Stats
| AC Milan | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | Attacking Strength | 1.53 |
| 0.72 | Defence Strength | 1.49 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
AC Milan are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Genoa average 1.4 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.
AC Milan 14-9
Genoa 14-19
What are the odds for this match?
AC Milan to win: @1.42
Draw: @4.5
Genoa to win: @7.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @2.05