Our Genoa vs AC Milan Prediction: 1-1
Genoa vs AC Milan in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Monday May 5, 2025. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Genoa vs AC Milan prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Genoa's Last Match – Como vs Genoa
Genoa must win to recover from their recent 0-1 Italy Serie A defeat against Como on April 27 and regain momentum. In that match, Genoa recorded 48% possession, firing 4 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Como | 52% | 11 (3) | 1.12 | 53 |
 Genoa | 48% | 4 (2) | 1.27 | 33 |
AC Milan's Last Match – Venezia vs AC Milan
AC Milan will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-0 Italy Serie A triumph against Venezia on April 27. In that match, AC Milan had 50% possession and 6 attempts at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Venezia | 50% | 7 (2) | 1.21 | 58 |
 AC Milan | 50% | 6 (2) | 1.53 | 35 |
Genoa vs AC Milan Stats
Key Stats
| Genoa | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.91 | Attacking Strength | 1.42 |
| 0.67 | Defence Strength | 0.83 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 0.7 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Genoa are averaging 0.7 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while AC Milan average 1.9 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Genoa 7-8
AC Milan 19-11
What are the odds for this match?
Genoa to win: @4.75
Draw: @3.75
AC Milan to win: @1.75
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.92
Lineups
Genoa (4-2-3-1) : Nicola Leali, Stefano Sabelli, Koni De Winter, Johan Vasquez, Aaron Martin, Brooke Norton-Cuffy, Morten Frendrup, Patrizio Masini, Morten Thorsby, Junior Messias, Andrea Pinamonti
AC Milan (3-4-2-1) : Mike Maignan, Fikayo Tomori, Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic, Alex Jimenez, Youssouf Fofana, Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Theo Hernandez, Christian Pulisic, Tijani Reijnders, Luka Jovic
Napoli 
Inter Milan 
AC Milan 
Roma 
Bologna 
Juventus 
Como 
Lazio 
Udinese 
Cremonese 
Atalanta 
Sassuolo 
Torino 
Cagliari 
Lecce 
Parma 
Pisa 
Genoa 
Verona 
Fiorentina