Our Inter Milan vs Genoa Prediction: 4-1
Inter Milan vs Genoa in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 28, 2026. Our analysis favors a 4-1 home win, but considering the likelihood of multiple goals, over 2.5 goals is also a solid wager.
Our prediction is supported by key Inter Milan vs Genoa stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Inter Milan's Last Match – Inter Milan vs Bodo/Glimt
Inter Milan will hope to recover from their recent 1-2 UEFA Champions League setback against Bodo/Glimt on February 24. In that match, Inter Milan recorded 70% possession, attempting 23 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Inter Milan | 70% | 23 (7) | 2.14 | 76 |
 Bodo/Glimt | 30% | 7 (5) | 1.73 | 11 |
Genoa's Last Match – Genoa vs Torino
Genoa will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 3-0 Italy Serie A victory over Torino on February 22. In that match, Genoa controlled 62% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Genoa | 62% | 10 (5) | 1.8 | 35 |
 Torino | 38% | 6 (3) | 0.57 | 27 |
Inter Milan vs Genoa Stats
Key Stats
| Inter Milan | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.2 | Attacking Strength | 1.1 |
| 0.76 | Defence Strength | 1.26 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.5 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Inter Milan are averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Genoa average 1.6 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Inter Milan 25-13
Genoa 16-13
What are the odds for this match?
Inter Milan to win: @1.3
Draw: @5.5
Genoa to win: @10
Lineups
Inter Milan (3-5-2) : Yann Sommer, Manuel Akanji, Stefan De Vrij, Carlos Augusto, Luis Henrique, Nicolo Barella, Piotr Zielinski, Henrikh Mkhitaryan, Federico Dimarco, Marcus Thuram, Ange Bonny
Genoa (3-4-2-1) : Justin Bijlow, Alessandro Marcandalli, Leo Ostigard, Johan Vasquez, Mikael Ellertsson, Ruslan Malinovskyi, Morten Frendrup, Aaron Martin, Tommaso Baldanzi, Vítor Carvalho, Lorenzo Colombo
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