Our Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC Prediction: 1-1
Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC in the Kenya Premier League is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 18, 2026. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Gor Mahia's Last Match – Gor Mahia vs Muranga Seal
Gor Mahia will look to carry forward their winning form after a 3-2 Kenya Premier League success over Muranga Seal on January 14. In that match, Gor Mahia had 58% possession and 9 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gor Mahia | 58% | 0 (9) | - | 101 |
Muranga Seal | 42% | 0 (4) | - | 56 |
Mara Sugar FC's Last Match – Kenya Police FC vs Mara Sugar FC
Mara Sugar FC will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 Kenya Premier League draw against Kenya Police FC on January 14. In that match, Mara Sugar FC controlled 43% of possession and managed 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Kenya Police FC | 57% | 0 (6) | - | 69 |
Mara Sugar FC | 43% | 0 (4) | - | 55 |
Gor Mahia vs Mara Sugar FC Stats
Key Stats
| Gor Mahia | Mara Sugar FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.22 | Attacking Strength | 1.19 |
| 1.19 | Defence Strength | 1.12 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 1/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Gor Mahia are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Mara Sugar FC average 0.8 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.