Our Palmeiras vs Guarani Prediction: 1-0
Palmeiras vs Guarani in the Brazil Campeonato Paulista is scheduled for an 23:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday February 15, 2026. Our forecast favors a 1-0 Palmeiras victory, with their defensive discipline proving too strong for Guarani to break down.
This Palmeiras vs Guarani prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Palmeiras's Last Match – Internacional vs Palmeiras
Palmeiras will seek to keep their streak alive after a 3-1 Brazil Serie A victory over Internacional on February 13. In that match, Palmeiras recorded 38% possession, firing 10 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Internacional | 62% | 16 (4) | 1.23 | 62 |
 Palmeiras | 38% | 10 (7) | 0.89 | 10 |
Guarani's Last Match – Guarani vs Botafogo SP
After suffering a 0-2 Brazil Campeonato Paulista loss to Botafogo SP, Guarani must win to get back on track. In that match, Guarani had 60% possession and 8 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Guarani | 60% | 8 (3) | 0.6 | 34 |
 Botafogo SP | 40% | 7 (6) | 1.07 | 25 |
Palmeiras vs Guarani Stats
Key Stats
| Palmeiras | Guarani | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.82 | Attacking Strength | 0.75 |
| 0.64 | Defence Strength | 0.89 |
| 2.2 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 1/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Palmeiras are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Guarani average 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Palmeiras 17-10
Guarani 8-12
What are the odds for this match?
Palmeiras to win: @1.27
Draw: @4.75
Guarani to win: @10
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.875