Our Guimaraes vs Alverca Prediction: 2-1
Guimaraes vs Alverca in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 20:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 28, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
This Guimaraes vs Alverca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Guimaraes's Last Match – Braga vs Guimaraes
Guimaraes must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 2-3 Portugal Primeira Liga defeat against Braga on February 21. In that match, Guimaraes saw 54% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Braga | 46% | 7 (7) | 2.48 | 27 |
 Guimaraes | 54% | 7 (5) | 1.26 | 22 |
Alverca's Last Match – Alverca vs Santa Clara
Determined to get back to winning ways, Alverca must win after their 1-1 Portugal Primeira Liga draw against Santa Clara on February 21. In that match, Alverca controlled 45% of possession and managed 3 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alverca | 45% | 3 (1) | 1.27 | 36 |
 Santa Clara | 55% | 11 (1) | 0.7 | 33 |
Guimaraes vs Alverca Stats
Key Stats
| Guimaraes | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.88 | Attacking Strength | 0.88 |
| 0.96 | Defence Strength | 1.35 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 0.9 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Guimaraes are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Alverca average 0.8 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.
Guimaraes 15-15
Alverca 8-19
What are the odds for this match?
Guimaraes to win: @1.75
Draw: @3.6
Alverca to win: @4.75
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825
Lineups
Guimaraes (4-2-3-1) : Charles, Tony Strata, Thiago Balieiro Lourenco De Carvalho, Rodrigo Abascal, Joao Mendes, Beni Mukendi, Diogo Lobao Sousa, Gustavo Silva, Samu, Noah Saviolo, Alioune Ndoye
Alverca (3-4-3) : Andre Nogueira Gomes, Kaiky Naves, Sergi Gomez, Bastien Meupiyou, Nabil Touaizi, Rhaldney, Lincoln, Isaac James, Figueiredo, Marezi, Chiquinho
FC Porto 
Sporting 
Benfica 
Braga 
Famalicao 
Gil Vicente 
Estoril 
Moreirense 
Guimaraes 
Rio Ave 
Arouca 
Alverca 
Estrela 
Santa Clara 
Nacional 
Casa Pia 
Tondela 
AVS