Our Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg Prediction: 2-1
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 17:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 21, 2026. A 2-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks promising given both teams’ recent scoring records.
This Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Borussia Dortmund's Last Match – Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg
Borussia Dortmund must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-0 Germany Bundesliga I victory over Augsburg in their last outing. In that match, Borussia Dortmund had 61% possession and 13 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Borussia Dortmund | 61% | 13 (5) | 2.47 | 62 |
 Augsburg | 39% | 5 (3) | 0.71 | 16 |
Hamburg's Last Match – Hamburg vs Cologne
Hamburg will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 1-1 Germany Bundesliga I draw with Cologne on March 14. In that match, Hamburg recorded 45% possession, attempting 2 shots on goal, with 1 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hamburg | 45% | 2 (1) | 0.35 | 34 |
 Cologne | 55% | 4 (2) | 1.22 | 48 |
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg Stats
Key Stats
| Borussia Dortmund | Hamburg | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.49 | Attacking Strength | 0.61 |
| 0.68 | Defence Strength | 0.89 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Borussia Dortmund are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Hamburg average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Borussia Dortmund 20-15
Hamburg 12-10
What are the odds for this match?
Borussia Dortmund to win: @1.4
Draw: @5
Hamburg to win: @6.5