Our Hamburg vs TSG Hoffenheim Prediction: 2-1
Hamburg vs TSG Hoffenheim in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 16:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday April 25, 2026. Our correct score prediction favors a 2-1 home triumph, but considering both teams’ ability to find the net, BTTS is also a solid alternative bet.
This Hamburg vs TSG Hoffenheim prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Hamburg's Last Match – VfB Stuttgart vs Hamburg
Hamburg must win to recover from their recent 0-4 Germany Bundesliga I defeat against VfB Stuttgart on April 12 and regain momentum. In that match, Hamburg recorded 35% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 VfB Stuttgart | 65% | 18 (11) | 3.63 | 62 |
 Hamburg | 35% | 6 (5) | 0.61 | 23 |
TSG Hoffenheim's Last Match – Augsburg vs TSG Hoffenheim
TSG Hoffenheim will be determined to find a winning touch after a 2-2 Germany Bundesliga I draw against Augsburg on April 10. In that match, TSG Hoffenheim saw 66% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Augsburg | 34% | 11 (7) | 1.9 | 50 |
 TSG Hoffenheim | 66% | 7 (4) | 1.04 | 65 |
Hamburg vs TSG Hoffenheim Stats
Key Stats
| Hamburg | TSG Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.81 | Attacking Strength | 1.01 |
| 0.88 | Defence Strength | 1.16 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Hamburg are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while TSG Hoffenheim average 1.7 scored and 2.1 conceded per game.
Hamburg 13-16
TSG Hoffenheim 17-21
What are the odds for this match?
Hamburg to win: @3.6
Draw: @3.9
TSG Hoffenheim to win: @1.85