Our Hartlepool vs Carlisle Prediction: 1-1
Hartlepool vs Carlisle in the England National League is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Wednesday February 25, 2026. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Hartlepool vs Carlisle prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Hartlepool's Last Match – Solihull Moors vs Hartlepool
Hartlepool will want to continue their winning form after a 4-3 England National League victory over Solihull Moors, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Hartlepool saw 50% of the ball and 8 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Solihull Moors | 50% | 0 (5) | - | 63 |
 Hartlepool | 50% | 0 (8) | - | 54 |
Carlisle's Last Match – Carlisle vs Yeovil
Carlisle will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 3-0 England National League victory over Yeovil on February 21. In that match, Carlisle had 50% possession and 7 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Carlisle | 50% | 0 (7) | - | 76 |
 Yeovil | 50% | 0 (3) | - | 69 |
Hartlepool vs Carlisle Stats
Key Stats
| Hartlepool | Carlisle | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.77 | Attacking Strength | 1.14 |
| 0.99 | Defence Strength | 0.97 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Hartlepool are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Carlisle average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Hartlepool 13-18
Carlisle 18-12
What are the odds for this match?
Hartlepool to win: @3.1
Draw: @3.4
Carlisle to win: @2.1
Lineups
Hartlepool: Tom Parkes, Nathan Sheron, Nicholas Hayes, Maxim Kouogun, Matty Daly, Cameron John, Jack David Hunter, Tyrese Sinclair, Jay Benn, Jamie Miley, Alex Reid
Carlisle: Ryan Galvin, Gabriel Breeze, David Ajiboye, Jack Ellis, Harvey Macadam, Morgan Feeney, Stephen Wearne, Luke Armstrong, Bevis Mugabi, Christopher Conn-Clarke, Alex Gilliead