Our York vs Hartlepool Prediction: 3-1
York vs Hartlepool in the England National League is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Wednesday February 11, 2026. We predict a 3-1 home victory, but with both teams posing an attacking threat, over 2.5 goals is another solid betting option.
This York vs Hartlepool prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
York's Last Match – York vs Forest Green
York will seek to keep their streak alive after a 2-1 England National League victory over Forest Green on February 7. In that match, York controlled 50% of possession and managed 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 York | 50% | 0 (3) | - | 38 |
 Forest Green | 50% | 0 (3) | - | 64 |
Hartlepool's Last Match – Tamworth vs Hartlepool
Hartlepool will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 England National League share of the spoils with Tamworth on February 7. In that match, Hartlepool saw 50% of the ball and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tamworth | 50% | 0 (6) | - | 59 |
 Hartlepool | 50% | 0 (2) | - | 56 |
York vs Hartlepool Stats
Key Stats
| York | Hartlepool | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.04 | Attacking Strength | 0.79 |
| 0.94 | Defence Strength | 0.85 |
| 2.4 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 9/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2.8 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
York are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Hartlepool average 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.