Our Hearts vs St Mirren Prediction: 3-1
Hearts vs St Mirren in the Scotland Premiership is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 14, 2026. We’re backing a 3-1 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
This Hearts vs St Mirren prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Hearts's Last Match – Hearts vs Livingston
Hearts will aim to maintain their momentum following a 1-0 Scotland Premiership triumph against Livingston on January 3. In that match, Hearts recorded 63% possession, firing 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hearts | 63% | 0 (5) | 1.82 | 72 |
 Livingston | 37% | 0 (2) | 0.35 | 56 |
St Mirren's Last Match – Motherwell vs St Mirren
St Mirren will look to get back on track following a 0-2 Scotland Premiership loss against Motherwell on January 3. In that match, St Mirren saw 45% of the ball and created 4 goal attempts, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Motherwell | 55% | 9 (8) | 1.58 | 60 |
 St Mirren | 45% | 4 (2) | 0.28 | 53 |
Hearts vs St Mirren Stats
Key Stats
| Hearts | St Mirren | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.33 | Attacking Strength | 0.82 |
| 0.58 | Defence Strength | 1.2 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Hearts are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while St Mirren average 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Hearts 15-8
St Mirren 11-15
What are the odds for this match?
Hearts to win: @1.3
Draw: @4.75
St Mirren to win: @11
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825