Our Hamburg vs Holstein Kiel Prediction: 2-1
Hamburg vs Holstein Kiel in the Germany DFB Pokal is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Wednesday December 3, 2025. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This Hamburg vs Holstein Kiel prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Hamburg's Last Match – Hamburg vs VfB Stuttgart
Hamburg will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-1 Germany Bundesliga I triumph against VfB Stuttgart on November 30. In that match, Hamburg recorded 34% possession, attempting 7 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hamburg | 34% | 7 (2) | 0.86 | 20 |
 VfB Stuttgart | 66% | 9 (3) | 0.65 | 64 |
Holstein Kiel's Last Match – Holstein Kiel vs Hertha Berlin
Holstein Kiel must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-1 Germany Bundesliga II defeat against Hertha Berlin on November 29. In that match, Holstein Kiel recorded 52% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Holstein Kiel | 52% | 5 (1) | 0.69 | 38 |
 Hertha Berlin | 48% | 8 (2) | 0.96 | 43 |
Hamburg vs Holstein Kiel Stats
Key Stats
| Hamburg | Holstein Kiel | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.94 | Attacking Strength | 0.67 |
| 0.84 | Defence Strength | 1.33 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Hamburg are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Holstein Kiel average 1.0 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Hamburg 16-13
Holstein Kiel 10-11
What are the odds for this match?
Hamburg to win: @1.7
Draw: @4.1
Holstein Kiel to win: @4.2