Our Independencia vs Humaita Prediction: 3-1
Independencia vs Humaita in the Brazil Serie D is scheduled for an 21:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday July 12, 2025. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
Our prediction is supported by key Independencia vs Humaita stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Independencia's Last Match – GA Sampaio vs Independencia
Independencia will seek to keep their streak alive after a 2-1 Brazil Serie D victory over GA Sampaio on July 5. In that match, Independencia recorded 47% possession and 7 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 GA Sampaio | 53% | 0 (9) | - | 86 |
 Independencia | 47% | 0 (7) | - | 38 |
Humaita's Last Match – Humaita vs Trem AP
Humaita must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 2-4 Brazil Serie D defeat against Trem AP on July 7. In that match, Humaita recorded 48% possession, firing 9 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Humaita | 48% | 0 (9) | - | 55 |
 Trem AP | 52% | 0 (11) | - | 74 |
Independencia vs Humaita Stats
Key Stats
| Independencia | Humaita | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.97 | Attacking Strength | 0.55 |
| 1.1 | Defence Strength | 2.42 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 0.1 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 0/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 10/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Independencia are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Humaita average 1.0 scored and 3.8 conceded per game.