Our Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin Prediction: 1-1
Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin in the Colombia Primera A is scheduled for an 01:20 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 12, 2026. A 1-1 result is our main prediction, but with both teams likely to score, BTTS is another strong betting choice.
Our prediction is supported by key Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Independiente Medellin's Last Match – Independiente Medellin vs Estudiantes LP
Independiente Medellin will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 Copa Libertadores draw with Estudiantes LP on April 9. In that match, Independiente Medellin recorded 64% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Independiente Medellin | 64% | 10 (5) | 0.58 | 44 |
 Estudiantes LP | 36% | 6 (4) | 0.37 | 18 |
Atletico Nacional Medellin's Last Match – Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Jaguares de Cordoba
Atletico Nacional Medellin must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-1 Colombia Primera A victory over Jaguares de Cordoba in their last outing. In that match, Atletico Nacional Medellin recorded 51% possession, firing 16 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico Nacional Medellin | 51% | 16 (6) | 1.11 | 30 |
 Jaguares de Cordoba | 49% | 7 (1) | 0.8 | 16 |
Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin Stats
Key Stats
| Independiente Medellin | Atletico Nacional Medellin | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.04 | Attacking Strength | 1.31 |
| 1.01 | Defence Strength | 0.9 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Independiente Medellin are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Atletico Nacional Medellin average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Independiente Medellin 13-10
Atletico Nacional Medellin 16-12
What are the odds for this match?
Independiente Medellin to win: @3.1
Draw: @3.4
Atletico Nacional Medellin to win: @2.25
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.9
Lineups
Independiente Medellin: Hayen Palacios, Alexis Serna Romana, Jose Ortiz, Francisco Chaverra, Daniel Catano, Esneyder Mena, Daniel Londono, Francisco Fydriszewski, Frank Fabra, Baldomero Perlaza Perlaza, Eder Chaux
Atletico Nacional Medellin: Juan Manuel Rengifo Duque, William Tesillo, Simon Garcia, Andres Sarmiento, Eduard Bello, Alfredo Morelos, Mateus Uribe, Milton Casco, Felipe Roman, Jorman Campuzano, David Ospina