Our Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Independiente Medellin Prediction: 2-2
Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Independiente Medellin in the Colombia Primera A is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday December 4, 2025. A 2-2 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Independiente Medellin stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atletico Nacional Medellin's Last Match – Junior vs Atletico Nacional Medellin
After suffering a 1-2 Colombia Primera A loss to Junior, Atletico Nacional Medellin must win to get back on track. In that match, Atletico Nacional Medellin had 44% possession and 13 attempts at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Junior | 56% | 11 (4) | 2.12 | 55 |
 Atletico Nacional Medellin | 44% | 13 (8) | 1.05 | 40 |
Independiente Medellin's Last Match – Independiente Medellin vs America de Cali
Independiente Medellin will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 1-1 Colombia Primera A draw with America de Cali on December 2. In that match, Independiente Medellin controlled 65% of possession and managed 11 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Independiente Medellin | 65% | 11 (6) | 1.19 | 52 |
 America de Cali | 35% | 6 (4) | 0.71 | 20 |
Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Independiente Medellin Stats
Key Stats
| Atletico Nacional Medellin | Independiente Medellin | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.39 | Attacking Strength | 2.31 |
| 0.8 | Defence Strength | 1.03 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atletico Nacional Medellin are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Independiente Medellin average 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
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