Our Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin Prediction: 1-0
Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin in the Colombia Primera A is scheduled for an 22:10 GMT kick-off on Sunday May 4, 2025. Our forecast favors a 1-0 Independiente Medellin victory, with their defensive discipline proving too strong for Atletico Nacional Medellin to break down.
Our prediction is supported by key Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Independiente Medellin's Last Match – Fortaleza CEIF vs Independiente Medellin
Determined to get back to winning ways, Independiente Medellin must win after their 0-0 Colombia Primera A draw against Fortaleza CEIF on April 27. In that match, Independiente Medellin recorded 70% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fortaleza CEIF | 30% | 7 (5) | 0.41 | 27 |
Independiente Medellin | 70% | 6 (3) | 0.32 | 37 |
Atletico Nacional Medellin's Last Match – Atletico Nacional Medellin vs Deportivo Pasto
Atletico Nacional Medellin will aim to maintain their momentum following a 3-0 Colombia Primera A triumph against Deportivo Pasto on April 30. In that match, Atletico Nacional Medellin saw 67% of the ball and created 17 goal attempts, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Atletico Nacional Medellin | 67% | 17 (7) | 2.26 | 56 |
Deportivo Pasto | 33% | 3 (1) | 0.03 | 18 |
Independiente Medellin vs Atletico Nacional Medellin Stats
Key Stats
| Independiente Medellin | Atletico Nacional Medellin | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.39 | Attacking Strength | 1.63 |
| 0.23 | Defence Strength | 0.77 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Independiente Medellin are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per match, while Atletico Nacional Medellin average 1.2 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Independiente Medellin 9-3
Atletico Nacional Medellin 12-9
What are the odds for this match?
Independiente Medellin to win: @2.75
Draw: @2.8
Atletico Nacional Medellin to win: @2.9
Lineups
Independiente Medellin: Homer Martinez, Leider Berrio, Daniel Londono, Francisco Fydriszewski, Brayan Leon Muniz, Jose Ortiz, Jherson Mosquera, Washington Aguerre, Alexis Serna Romana, Leyser Chaverra Renteria, Francisco Chaverra
Atletico Nacional Medellin: Billy Arce, Edwin Cardona, Mateus Uribe, Camilo Candido, Simon Garcia, Andres Sarmiento, Felipe Roman, Kevin Viveros, William Tesillo, Jorman Campuzano, David Ospina