Our Union Magdalena vs Independiente Medellin Prediction: 1-1
Union Magdalena vs Independiente Medellin in the Colombia Primera A is scheduled for an 00:20 GMT kick-off on Monday July 28, 2025. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
Our prediction is supported by key Union Magdalena vs Independiente Medellin stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Union Magdalena's Last Match – Junior vs Union Magdalena
Union Magdalena must win to recover from their recent 1-4 Colombia Primera A defeat against Junior on July 24 and regain momentum. In that match, Union Magdalena had 47% possession and 8 attempts at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Junior | 53% | 7 (6) | 0.95 | 42 |
 Union Magdalena | 47% | 8 (8) | 0.99 | 36 |
Independiente Medellin's Last Match – Independiente Medellin vs Envigado FC
Independiente Medellin will be looking to bounce back after a 3-4 Colombia Primera A defeat against Envigado FC on July 25. In that match, Independiente Medellin recorded 76% possession, attempting 15 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Independiente Medellin | 76% | 15 (8) | 2.9 | 72 |
 Envigado FC | 24% | 8 (5) | 2.23 | 19 |
Union Magdalena vs Independiente Medellin Stats
Key Stats
| Union Magdalena | Independiente Medellin | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.55 | Attacking Strength | 0.76 |
| 1.31 | Defence Strength | 0.78 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 0.7 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Union Magdalena are averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Independiente Medellin average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Union Magdalena 7-14
Independiente Medellin 13-12
What are the odds for this match?
Union Magdalena to win: @5.5
Draw: @3.6
Independiente Medellin to win: @1.666
Lineups
Union Magdalena: Fabian Cantillo, Roberto Hinojosa, Joel Contreras, Edgar Lastre, Royscer Colpa, Nicolas Ramos, David Murillo, Jannenson Sarmiento, Dairon Mosquera, Joaquin Mattalia, Hector Urrego
Independiente Medellin: Leyser Chaverra Renteria, Washington Aguerre, Fainer Torijano, Juan Arizala, Francisco Fydriszewski, Baldomero Perlaza Perlaza, Luis Sandoval, Jose Ortiz, Jaime Alvarado, Francisco Chaverra, Esneyder Mena
Atletico Bucaramanga 
Deportes Tolima 
Independiente Santa Fe 
Fortaleza CEIF