Our Tombense MG vs Itabaiana Prediction: 3-2
Tombense MG vs Itabaiana in the Brazil Serie C is scheduled for an 23:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday May 3, 2025. A 3-2 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Tombense MG's Last Match – Ituano vs Tombense MG
After suffering a 1-3 Brazil Serie C loss to Ituano, Tombense MG must win to get back on track. In that match, Tombense MG controlled 50% of possession and managed 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ituano | 50% | 0 (5) | - | 76 |
 Tombense MG | 50% | 0 (4) | - | 52 |
Itabaiana's Last Match – Itabaiana vs Sao Bernardo SP
Itabaiana must win to recover from their recent 0-1 Brazil Serie C defeat against Sao Bernardo SP on April 27 and regain momentum. In that match, Itabaiana had 55% possession and 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Itabaiana | 55% | 0 (3) | - | 114 |
 Sao Bernardo SP | 45% | 0 (3) | - | 56 |
Tombense MG vs Itabaiana Stats
Key Stats
| Tombense MG | Itabaiana | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.86 | Attacking Strength | 2.08 |
| 0.83 | Defence Strength | 2.15 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tombense MG are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match, while Itabaiana average 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Tombense MG 11-11
Itabaiana 14-11
What are the odds for this match?
Tombense MG to win: @1.8
Draw: @3.1
Itabaiana to win: @4.5
Ponte Preta 
Guarani 
Brusque 
Nautico