Our USA vs Italy Prediction: 2-2
USA vs Italy in the International Match is scheduled for an 00:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday November 29, 2025. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 2-2 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
Our prediction is supported by key USA vs Italy stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
USA's Last Match – USA vs Uruguay
Determined to maintain their recent success, USA must win following their 5-1 International Match victory against Uruguay on November 19. In that match, USA saw 48% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 USA | 48% | 8 (5) | 0.73 | 0 |
 Uruguay | 52% | 6 (1) | 0.59 | 0 |
Italy's Last Match – Italy vs Norway
Italy will look to get back on track following a 1-4 Europe - World Cup Qualifying loss against Norway on November 16. In that match, Italy recorded 58% possession, firing 10 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Italy | 58% | 10 (4) | 1.27 | 43 |
 Norway | 42% | 10 (5) | 1.92 | 67 |
USA vs Italy Stats
Key Stats
| USA | Italy | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.21 | Attacking Strength | 1.84 |
| 1.2 | Defence Strength | 0.8 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 2.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
USA are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Italy average 2.5 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.