Our Jaguares de Chiapas FC vs Dragones Toluca Prediction: 5-1
Jaguares de Chiapas FC vs Dragones Toluca in the Mexico Segunda Division is scheduled for an 01:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 5, 2025. We’re backing a 4-1 home win, but for those looking at alternative bets, over 2.5 goals is worth considering based on both teams' attacking stats.
This Jaguares de Chiapas FC vs Dragones Toluca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Jaguares de Chiapas FC's Last Match – Club Canoneros Marina vs Jaguares de Chiapas FC
Jaguares de Chiapas FC will look to carry forward their winning form after a 1-0 Mexico Segunda Division success over Club Canoneros Marina on September 26. In that match, Jaguares de Chiapas FC recorded 45% possession and 6 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Club Canoneros Marina | 55% | 0 (10) | - | 47 |
 Jaguares de Chiapas FC | 45% | 0 (6) | - | 32 |
Dragones Toluca's Last Match – Dragones Toluca vs Montaneses FC
Dragones Toluca will be looking to bounce back after a 0-1 Mexico Segunda Division defeat against Montaneses FC on September 27.
Jaguares de Chiapas FC vs Dragones Toluca Stats
Key Stats
| Jaguares de Chiapas FC | Dragones Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.56 | Attacking Strength | 0.55 |
| 0.99 | Defence Strength | 1.87 |
| 0.8 | Points Per Game | 0.67 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 0.83 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Jaguares de Chiapas FC are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Dragones Toluca average 0.5 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Jaguares de Chiapas FC 11-14
Dragones Toluca 5-11
What are the odds for this match?
Jaguares de Chiapas FC to win: @1.55
Draw: @4
Dragones Toluca to win: @4.75