Our Lagarto vs AA Guarany Prediction: 4-1
Lagarto vs AA Guarany in the Brazil Campeonato Sergipano is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 21, 2026. A 4-1 result in favor of the hosts is our top pick, yet with both sides creating chances, over 2.5 goals remains an appealing option.
This Lagarto vs AA Guarany prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Lagarto's Last Match – AD Confianca vs Lagarto
Determined to get back to winning ways, Lagarto must win after their 2-2 Brazil Campeonato Sergipano draw against AD Confianca on January 18. In that match, Lagarto had 41% possession and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 AD Confianca | 59% | 0 (5) | - | 59 |
 Lagarto | 41% | 0 (2) | - | 44 |
AA Guarany's Last Match – CS Sergipe vs AA Guarany
AA Guarany will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 Brazil Campeonato Sergipano draw with CS Sergipe on January 17. In that match, AA Guarany saw 41% of the ball and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 CS Sergipe | 59% | 0 (1) | - | 87 |
 AA Guarany | 41% | 0 (2) | - | 39 |
Lagarto vs AA Guarany Stats
Key Stats
| Lagarto | AA Guarany | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.29 | Attacking Strength | 0.78 |
| 0.68 | Defence Strength | 1.9 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lagarto are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while AA Guarany average 0.8 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
CS Sergipe 
Itabaiana 
Lagarto 
AD Confianca 
AA Guarany 
Dorense