Our Liverpool vs Leeds Prediction: 2-1
Liverpool vs Leeds in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 17:30 GMT kick-off on Thursday January 1, 2026. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
This Liverpool vs Leeds prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Liverpool's Last Match – Liverpool vs Wolverhampton
Liverpool will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-1 England Premier League success over Wolverhampton on December 27. In that match, Liverpool had 66% possession and 10 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Liverpool | 66% | 10 (4) | 1.55 | 87 |
 Wolverhampton | 34% | 7 (4) | 1.07 | 33 |
Leeds's Last Match – Sunderland vs Leeds
Leeds should win to turn things around after settling for a 1-1 England Premier League draw against Sunderland on December 28. In that match, Leeds controlled 57% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sunderland | 43% | 3 (3) | 0.64 | 47 |
 Leeds | 57% | 10 (6) | 2.03 | 64 |
Liverpool vs Leeds Stats
Key Stats
| Liverpool | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.03 | Attacking Strength | 0.73 |
| 0.9 | Defence Strength | 1.49 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Liverpool are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Leeds average 1.8 scored and 1.9 conceded per game.
Liverpool 14-16
Leeds 18-19
What are the odds for this match?
Liverpool to win: @1.55
Draw: @4.5
Leeds to win: @5.5
Lineups
Liverpool (4-2-3-1) : Alisson, Conor Bradley, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil Van Dijk, Andy Robertson, Ryan Gravenberch, Curtis Jones, Jeremie Frimpong, Dominik Szoboszlai, Florian Wirtz, Hugo Ekitike
Leeds (3-5-2) : Lucas Perri, Sebastiaan Bornauw, Jaka Bijol, Pascal Struijk, James Justin, Ilia Gruev, Ethan Ampadu, Anton Stach, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Brenden Aaronson, Lukas Nmecha
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