Our Newcastle vs Leeds Prediction: 2-1
Newcastle vs Leeds in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 20:15 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 7, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Newcastle vs Leeds prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Newcastle's Last Match – Newcastle vs Crystal Palace
Newcastle will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-0 England Premier League triumph against Crystal Palace on January 4. In that match, Newcastle controlled 59% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Newcastle | 59% | 8 (7) | 1.88 | 52 |
 Crystal Palace | 41% | 5 (1) | 0.7 | 52 |
Leeds's Last Match – Leeds vs Man Utd
Leeds will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 England Premier League draw with Man Utd on January 4. In that match, Leeds saw 45% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leeds | 45% | 8 (3) | 0.92 | 51 |
 Man Utd | 55% | 9 (2) | 1.45 | 27 |
Newcastle vs Leeds Stats
Key Stats
| Newcastle | Leeds | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.16 | Attacking Strength | 0.65 |
| 0.97 | Defence Strength | 1.29 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Newcastle are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Leeds average 1.7 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Newcastle 19-12
Leeds 17-16
What are the odds for this match?
Newcastle to win: @1.666
Draw: @3.8
Leeds to win: @5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825
Lineups
Newcastle (4-3-3) : Nick Pope, Lewis Miley, Malick Thiaw, Fabian Schar, Lewis Hall, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton, Harvey Barnes, Nick Woltemade, Anthony Gordon
Leeds (3-5-1-1) : Lucas Perri, Joe Rodon, Jaka Bijol, Pascal Struijk, James Justin, Ilia Gruev, Ethan Ampadu, Anton Stach, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Brenden Aaronson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin