Our Leeds vs Stoke Prediction: 3-1
Leeds vs Stoke in the England Championship is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Monday April 21, 2025. Our correct score prediction favors a 3-1 home triumph, but considering recent goal trends, betting on over 2.5 goals also makes sense.
This Leeds vs Stoke prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Leeds's Last Match – Oxford Utd vs Leeds
Leeds will hope to extend their good run following a 1-0 England Championship win against Oxford Utd on April 18. In that match, Leeds saw 67% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Oxford Utd | 33% | 4 (2) | 0.45 | 37 |
 Leeds | 67% | 8 (4) | 1.66 | 49 |
Stoke's Last Match – Stoke vs Sheff Wed
Stoke will seek to keep their streak alive after a 2-0 England Championship victory over Sheff Wed on April 18. In that match, Stoke recorded 44% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Stoke | 44% | 6 (3) | 1.01 | 43 |
 Sheff Wed | 56% | 6 (0) | 1.05 | 33 |
Leeds vs Stoke Stats
Key Stats
| Leeds | Stoke | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.86 | Attacking Strength | 1.01 |
| 0.6 | Defence Strength | 1.14 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Leeds are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Stoke average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Leeds 15-9
Stoke 12-10
What are the odds for this match?
Leeds to win: @1.27
Draw: @5.75
Stoke to win: @11
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825