Our Troyes vs Lens Prediction: 2-1
Troyes vs Lens in the France Cup is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday February 4, 2026. Our forecast points to a 2-1 home win, but considering both teams’ recent scoring patterns, BTTS is a highly likely outcome.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Troyes's Last Match – Troyes vs Le Mans
Troyes will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-2 France Ligue 2 loss to Le Mans on January 31. In that match, Troyes recorded 63% possession and 2 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Troyes | 63% | 0 (2) | 1.31 | 67 |
 Le Mans | 37% | 0 (3) | 0.43 | 27 |
Lens's Last Match – Lens vs Le Havre
Lens will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 France Ligue 1 victory over Le Havre, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Lens controlled 54% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lens | 54% | 7 (4) | 2.14 | 65 |
 Le Havre | 46% | 1 (1) | 0.46 | 32 |
Troyes vs Lens Stats
Key Stats
| Troyes | Lens | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.24 | Attacking Strength | 0.96 |
| 0.4 | Defence Strength | 1.07 |
| 2.5 | Points Per Game | 3 |
| 8/10 | WIN | 10/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 2.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Troyes are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Lens average 1.9 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.