Our Lexington SC vs Louisville City FC Prediction: 1-1
Lexington SC vs Louisville City FC in the USA USL League One Cup is scheduled for an 00:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday July 27, 2025. A 1-1 result is our main prediction, but with both teams likely to score, BTTS is another strong betting choice.
This Lexington SC vs Louisville City FC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Lexington SC's Last Match – Sacramento Republic vs Lexington SC
Lexington SC will be determined to find a winning touch after a 0-0 USA USL Championship draw against Sacramento Republic on July 20. In that match, Lexington SC recorded 40% possession and 2 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sacramento Republic | 60% | 0 (3) | 1.13 | 63 |
Lexington SC | 40% | 0 (2) | 0.36 | 31 |
Louisville City FC's Last Match – Louisville City FC vs Tulsa
Louisville City FC will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 USA USL Championship draw with Tulsa on July 20. In that match, Louisville City FC saw 65% of the ball and 1 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Louisville City FC | 65% | 0 (1) | 1.23 | 0 |
 Tulsa | 35% | 0 (1) | 1.15 | 0 |
Lexington SC vs Louisville City FC Stats
Key Stats
| Lexington SC | Louisville City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.65 | Attacking Strength | 0.75 |
| 0.75 | Defence Strength | 1.3 |
| 2.1 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lexington SC are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Louisville City FC average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Lexington SC 16-7
Louisville City FC 18-12
What are the odds for this match?
Lexington SC to win: @3.8
Draw: @3.5
Louisville City FC to win: @1.75
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.975