Our Lexington SC vs North Carolina FC Prediction: 1-1
Lexington SC vs North Carolina FC in the USA USL Championship is scheduled for an 22:00 GMT kick-off on Friday September 5, 2025. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Lexington SC vs North Carolina FC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Lexington SC's Last Match – Las Vegas Lights FC vs Lexington SC
Lexington SC will hope to recover from their recent 0-1 USA USL Championship setback against Las Vegas Lights FC on August 31. In that match, Lexington SC saw 49% of the ball and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Las Vegas Lights FC | 51% | 0 (1) | 0.49 | 38 |
Lexington SC | 49% | 0 (2) | 0.64 | 34 |
North Carolina FC's Last Match – North Carolina FC vs Hartford Athletic
North Carolina FC will look to get back on track following a 2-3 USA USL Championship loss against Hartford Athletic on August 30. In that match, North Carolina FC recorded 53% possession, firing 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
North Carolina FC | 53% | 0 (3) | 0.47 | 46 |
Hartford Athletic | 47% | 0 (4) | 2.1 | 63 |
Lexington SC vs North Carolina FC Stats
Key Stats
| Lexington SC | North Carolina FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.79 | Attacking Strength | 0.91 |
| 0.82 | Defence Strength | 0.99 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lexington SC are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while North Carolina FC average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.


Las Vegas Lights FC
North Carolina FC
Hartford Athletic