Our Orange County SC vs Lexington SC Prediction: 1-0
Orange County SC vs Lexington SC in the USA USL Championship is scheduled for an 02:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday April 19, 2026. Orange County SC’s home form gives them the edge, and a single goal could be enough to earn them a 1-0 victory over Lexington SC.
Our prediction is supported by key Orange County SC vs Lexington SC stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Orange County SC's Last Match – Tulsa vs Orange County SC
Orange County SC must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 1-0 USA USL Championship victory over Tulsa in their last outing. In that match, Orange County SC controlled 32% of possession and managed 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tulsa | 68% | 0 (4) | 0.56 | 61 |
 Orange County SC | 32% | 0 (3) | 0.81 | 35 |
Lexington SC's Last Match – Lexington SC vs Rhode Island FC
After suffering a 1-3 USA USL Championship loss to Rhode Island FC, Lexington SC must win to get back on track. In that match, Lexington SC recorded 66% possession, firing 7 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Lexington SC | 66% | 0 (7) | 0.7 | 99 |
Rhode Island FC | 34% | 0 (8) | 0.67 | 54 |
Orange County SC vs Lexington SC Stats
Key Stats
| Orange County SC | Lexington SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.87 | Attacking Strength | 0.45 |
| 0.82 | Defence Strength | 1 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Orange County SC are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, while Lexington SC average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Orange County SC 12-6
Lexington SC 17-15
What are the odds for this match?
Orange County SC to win: @2.35
Draw: @3.3
Lexington SC to win: @2.75
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.775