Our Phoenix Rising FC vs Lexington SC Prediction: 3-1
Phoenix Rising FC vs Lexington SC in the USA USL Championship is scheduled for an 03:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday July 5, 2025. We predict a 3-1 home victory, but with both teams posing an attacking threat, over 2.5 goals is another solid betting option.
This Phoenix Rising FC vs Lexington SC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Phoenix Rising FC's Last Match – Texoma FC vs Phoenix Rising FC
Phoenix Rising FC will want to continue their winning form after a 5-4 USA USL League One Cup victory over Texoma FC, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Phoenix Rising FC had 76% possession and 9 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Texoma FC | 24% | 0 (5) | 1 | 40 |
 Phoenix Rising FC | 76% | 0 (9) | 2.47 | 74 |
Lexington SC's Last Match – Richmond Kickers vs Lexington SC
Lexington SC will hope to extend their good run following a 3-0 USA USL League One Cup win against Richmond Kickers on June 29. In that match, Lexington SC recorded 66% possession, firing 7 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Richmond Kickers | 34% | 0 (0) | 0.53 | 44 |
Lexington SC | 66% | 0 (7) | 1.16 | 63 |
Phoenix Rising FC vs Lexington SC Stats
Key Stats
| Phoenix Rising FC | Lexington SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.15 | Attacking Strength | 0.87 |
| 1.22 | Defence Strength | 1.76 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 2.1 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Phoenix Rising FC are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while Lexington SC average 2.0 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Phoenix Rising FC 20-19
Lexington SC 20-9
What are the odds for this match?
Phoenix Rising FC to win: @1.9
Draw: @3.1
Lexington SC to win: @3.75
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.975