Our Tulsa vs Lexington SC Prediction: 2-1
Tulsa vs Lexington SC in the USA USL Championship is scheduled for an 00:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 5, 2025. We predict a 2-1 home victory, but with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS (Both Teams to Score) is another strong betting option.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Tulsa's Last Match – Indy Eleven vs Tulsa
After suffering a 1-2 USA USL Championship loss to Indy Eleven, Tulsa must win to get back on track. In that match, Tulsa recorded 61% possession, firing 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Indy Eleven | 39% | 0 (3) | 0.34 | 38 |
 Tulsa | 61% | 0 (3) | 1.07 | 60 |
Lexington SC's Last Match – New Mexico United vs Lexington SC
Lexington SC must win to recover from their recent 1-2 USA USL Championship defeat against New Mexico United on September 28 and regain momentum. In that match, Lexington SC controlled 36% of possession and managed 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 New Mexico United | 64% | 0 (2) | 1.18 | 75 |
Lexington SC | 36% | 0 (2) | 0.33 | 58 |
Tulsa vs Lexington SC Stats
Key Stats
| Tulsa | Lexington SC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.34 | Attacking Strength | 0.65 |
| 1.06 | Defence Strength | 0.94 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tulsa are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Lexington SC average 1.2 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Tulsa 17-13
Lexington SC 12-11
What are the odds for this match?
Tulsa to win: @1.95
Draw: @3.6
Lexington SC to win: @3.4
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.95