Our Lithuania vs Poland Prediction: 1-4
Lithuania vs Poland in the Europe - World Cup Qualifying is scheduled for an 18:45 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 12, 2025. A 1-4 result in favor of the away side seems likely, but given the offensive strengths of both teams, over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative bet.
This Lithuania vs Poland prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Lithuania's Last Match – Lithuania vs Netherlands
Lithuania will look to get back on track following a 2-3 Europe - World Cup Qualifying loss against Netherlands on September 7. In that match, Lithuania recorded 27% possession, firing 3 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lithuania | 27% | 3 (3) | 0.33 | 21 |
 Netherlands | 73% | 11 (7) | 1.1 | 99 |
Poland's Last Match – Poland vs Finland
Determined to maintain their recent success, Poland must win following their 3-1 Europe - World Cup Qualifying victory against Finland on September 7. In that match, Poland controlled 45% of possession and managed 11 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Poland | 45% | 11 (5) | 1.83 | 35 |
 Finland | 55% | 4 (3) | 0.28 | 57 |
Lithuania vs Poland Stats
Key Stats
| Lithuania | Poland | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | Attacking Strength | 1.78 |
| 1.68 | Defence Strength | 0.86 |
| 0.3 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 0/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lithuania are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while Poland average 1.6 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.