Our Lithuania vs Poland Prediction: 1-4
Lithuania vs Poland in the Europe - World Cup Qualifying is scheduled for an 18:45 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 12, 2025. A 1-4 result in favor of the away side seems likely, but given the offensive strengths of both teams, over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative bet.
This Lithuania vs Poland prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Lithuania's Last Match – Finland vs Lithuania
Lithuania will look to get back on track following a 1-2 Europe - World Cup Qualifying loss against Finland on October 9. In that match, Lithuania recorded 50% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Finland | 50% | 11 (3) | 1.27 | 40 |
 Lithuania | 50% | 5 (3) | 0.84 | 31 |
Poland's Last Match – Poland vs New Zealand
Determined to maintain their recent success, Poland must win following their 1-0 International Match victory against New Zealand on October 9. In that match, Poland controlled 50% of possession and managed 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Poland | 50% | 0 (4) | - | 97 |
 New Zealand | 50% | 0 (1) | - | 94 |
Lithuania vs Poland Stats
Key Stats
| Lithuania | Poland | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.78 | Attacking Strength | 1.77 |
| 1.67 | Defence Strength | 0.87 |
| 0.3 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 0/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lithuania are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while Poland average 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
Lithuania 8-19
Poland 16-14
What are the odds for this match?
Lithuania to win: @8.5
Draw: @4.2
Poland to win: @1.42
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.95