Our Liverpool vs Brighton Prediction: 2-1
Liverpool vs Brighton in the England FA Cup is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 14, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Liverpool vs Brighton prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Liverpool's Last Match – Sunderland vs Liverpool
Liverpool will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 England Premier League victory over Sunderland, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Liverpool controlled 56% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sunderland | 44% | 7 (2) | 0.65 | 45 |
 Liverpool | 56% | 10 (3) | 1.94 | 64 |
Brighton's Last Match – Aston Villa vs Brighton
Brighton will look to get back on track following a 0-1 England Premier League loss against Aston Villa on February 11. In that match, Brighton recorded 50% possession, attempting 8 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aston Villa | 50% | 7 (2) | 0.66 | 46 |
 Brighton | 50% | 8 (3) | 0.45 | 57 |
Liverpool vs Brighton Stats
Key Stats
| Liverpool | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.59 | Attacking Strength | 1.44 |
| 0.52 | Defence Strength | 0.6 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 2.4 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Liverpool are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Brighton average 1.1 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Liverpool 24-10
Brighton 11-12
What are the odds for this match?
Liverpool to win: @1.55
Draw: @4.5
Brighton to win: @5.25