Our Burnley vs Liverpool Prediction: 1-3
Burnley vs Liverpool in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday September 14, 2025. A 1-3 win for the visitors is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals seems like a solid bet given both teams' attacking form.
This Burnley vs Liverpool prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Burnley's Last Match – Man Utd vs Burnley
Burnley will aim to put their last result behind them following a 2-3 England Premier League loss to Man Utd on August 30. In that match, Burnley recorded 38% possession, attempting 4 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Man Utd | 62% | 19 (6) | 3.53 | 70 |
 Burnley | 38% | 4 (3) | 1.2 | 25 |
Liverpool's Last Match – Liverpool vs Arsenal
Liverpool must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 1-0 England Premier League victory over Arsenal in their last outing. In that match, Liverpool controlled 53% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Liverpool | 53% | 6 (3) | 0.44 | 23 |
 Arsenal | 47% | 5 (1) | 0.55 | 44 |
Burnley vs Liverpool Stats
Key Stats
| Burnley | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.73 | Attacking Strength | 1.33 |
| 1.33 | Defence Strength | 1 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 2.3 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 2.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Burnley are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Liverpool average 2.6 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Burnley 15-15
Liverpool 26-16
What are the odds for this match?
Burnley to win: @8.5
Draw: @5.5
Liverpool to win: @1.3
Lineups
Burnley (4-2-3-1) : Martin Dubravka, Kyle Walker, Hjalmar Ekdal, Maxime Esteve, Quilindschy Hartman, Josh Cullen, Lesley Ugochukwu, Loum Tchaouna, Josh Laurent, Jaidon Anthony, Lyle Foster
Liverpool (4-2-3-1) : Alisson, Dominik Szoboszlai, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil Van Dijk, Milos Kerkez, Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister, Mohamed Salah, Florian Wirtz, Cody Gakpo, Hugo Ekitike
Arsenal 
Man City 
Liverpool 
Bournemouth 
Tottenham 
Chelsea 
Sunderland 
Man Utd 
Crystal Palace 
Brighton 
Aston Villa 
Brentford 
Newcastle 
Fulham 
Everton 
Leeds 
Burnley 
West Ham 
Nottm Forest 
Wolverhampton