Our Burnley vs Liverpool Prediction: 1-3
Burnley vs Liverpool in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday September 14, 2025. A 1-3 win for the visitors is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals seems like a solid bet given both teams' attacking form.
This Burnley vs Liverpool prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Burnley's Last Match – Man Utd vs Burnley
Burnley will aim to put their last result behind them following a 2-3 England Premier League loss to Man Utd on August 30. In that match, Burnley recorded 38% possession, attempting 4 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Man Utd | 62% | 19 (6) | 3.53 | 70 |
 Burnley | 38% | 4 (3) | 1.2 | 25 |
Liverpool's Last Match – Liverpool vs Arsenal
Liverpool must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 1-0 England Premier League victory over Arsenal in their last outing. In that match, Liverpool controlled 53% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Liverpool | 53% | 6 (3) | 0.44 | 23 |
 Arsenal | 47% | 5 (1) | 0.55 | 44 |
Burnley vs Liverpool Stats
Key Stats
| Burnley | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.73 | Attacking Strength | 1.33 |
| 1.33 | Defence Strength | 1 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 2.3 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 9/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 2.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Burnley are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Liverpool average 2.6 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Burnley 15-15
Liverpool 26-16
What are the odds for this match?
Burnley to win: @8.5
Draw: @5.5
Liverpool to win: @1.3
Lineups
Burnley (4-2-3-1) : Martin Dubravka, Kyle Walker, Hjalmar Ekdal, Maxime Esteve, Quilindschy Hartman, Josh Cullen, Lesley Ugochukwu, Loum Tchaouna, Josh Laurent, Jaidon Anthony, Lyle Foster
Liverpool (4-2-3-1) : Alisson, Dominik Szoboszlai, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil Van Dijk, Milos Kerkez, Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister, Mohamed Salah, Florian Wirtz, Cody Gakpo, Hugo Ekitike