Our Liverpool vs Burnley Prediction: 3-1
Liverpool vs Burnley in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 17, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This Liverpool vs Burnley prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Liverpool's Last Match – Liverpool vs Barnsley
Liverpool will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 4-1 England FA Cup victory over Barnsley on January 12. In that match, Liverpool had 75% possession and 11 attempts at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Liverpool | 75% | 11 (7) | 1.93 | 109 |
 Barnsley | 25% | 6 (4) | 1.18 | 27 |
Burnley's Last Match – Burnley vs Millwall
Burnley will aim to maintain their momentum following a 5-1 England FA Cup triumph against Millwall on January 10. In that match, Burnley recorded 66% possession, attempting 10 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Burnley | 66% | 10 (7) | 2.52 | 37 |
 Millwall | 34% | 6 (7) | 0.72 | 40 |
Liverpool vs Burnley Stats
Key Stats
| Liverpool | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.96 | Attacking Strength | 0.98 |
| 0.82 | Defence Strength | 1.67 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 0.6 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Liverpool are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Burnley average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Liverpool 17-9
Burnley 13-18
What are the odds for this match?
Liverpool to win: @1.222
Draw: @6.5
Burnley to win: @11
Lineups
Liverpool (4-2-3-1) : Alisson, Jeremie Frimpong, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil Van Dijk, Milos Kerkez, Ryan Gravenberch, Curtis Jones, Dominik Szoboszlai, Florian Wirtz, Cody Gakpo, Hugo Ekitike
Burnley (3-4-2-1) : Martin Dubravka, Axel Tuanzebe, Maxime Esteve, Bashir Humphreys, Kyle Walker, Lesley Ugochukwu, Florentino Luis, Lucas Pires, Marcus Edwards, Jaidon Anthony, Armando Broja