Our Chelsea vs Liverpool Prediction: 2-1
Chelsea vs Liverpool in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 16:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday October 4, 2025. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key performance data, betting odds and match insights — everything you need is right below to make smarter bets.
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Recent Form Insights
Chelsea's Last Match – Chelsea vs Benfica
Chelsea must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 1-0 UEFA Champions League victory over Benfica in their last outing. In that match, Chelsea saw 56% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chelsea | 56% | 8 (3) | 0.93 | 46 |
 Benfica | 44% | 7 (3) | 0.86 | 35 |
Liverpool's Last Match – Galatasaray vs Liverpool
Liverpool must win to recover from their recent 0-1 UEFA Champions League defeat against Galatasaray on September 30 and regain momentum. In that match, Liverpool had 67% possession and 6 attempts at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Galatasaray | 33% | 6 (4) | 1.32 | 25 |
 Liverpool | 67% | 6 (4) | 1.78 | 62 |
Chelsea vs Liverpool Stats
Key Stats
| Chelsea | Liverpool | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.09 | Attacking Strength | 1.21 |
| 0.43 | Defence Strength | 1.16 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 2.2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Chelsea are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Liverpool average 1.9 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Chelsea 19-13
Liverpool 19-13
What are the odds for this match?
Chelsea to win: @2.8
Draw: @3.8
Liverpool to win: @2.3
Lineups
Chelsea (4-2-3-1) : Robert Sanchez, Malo Gusto, Josh-Ko Acheampong, Benoit Badiashile, Marc Cucurella, Reece James, Moises Caicedo, Pedro Neto, Enzo Fernandez, Alejandro Garnacho, Joao Pedro
Liverpool (4-2-3-1) : Giorgi Mamardashvili, Conor Bradley, Ibrahima Konate, Virgil Van Dijk, Milos Kerkez, Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister, Mohamed Salah, Dominik Szoboszlai, Cody Gakpo, Alexander Isak