Our Liverpool vs FK Qarabag Prediction: 2-1
Liverpool vs FK Qarabag in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 28, 2026. We’re backing a 2-1 home win, but with both sides regularly hitting the scoreboard, BTTS is a strong option for bettors.
This Liverpool vs FK Qarabag prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Liverpool's Last Match – Liverpool vs Burnley
Liverpool will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 England Premier League draw with Burnley on January 17. In that match, Liverpool recorded 73% possession, attempting 15 shots on goal, with 11 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Liverpool | 73% | 15 (11) | 2.95 | 129 |
 Burnley | 27% | 5 (1) | 0.39 | 29 |
FK Qarabag's Last Match – Zaglebie Lubin vs FK Qarabag
FK Qarabag must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 3-1 Europe Friendlies victory over Zaglebie Lubin in their last outing. In that match, FK Qarabag recorded 50% possession, firing 11 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zaglebie Lubin | 50% | 0 (4) | - | 16 |
 FK Qarabag | 50% | 0 (11) | - | 59 |
Liverpool vs FK Qarabag Stats
Key Stats
| Liverpool | FK Qarabag | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.02 | Attacking Strength | 0.93 |
| 0.9 | Defence Strength | 1.25 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 2.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Liverpool are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while FK Qarabag average 2.3 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.