Our Liverpool vs FK Qarabag Prediction: 2-1
Liverpool vs FK Qarabag in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 28, 2026. We’re backing a 2-1 home win, but with both sides regularly hitting the scoreboard, BTTS is a strong option for bettors.
This Liverpool vs FK Qarabag prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Liverpool's Last Match – Bournemouth vs Liverpool
Liverpool will be looking to bounce back after a 2-3 England Premier League defeat against Bournemouth on January 24. In that match, Liverpool recorded 67% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bournemouth | 33% | 8 (5) | 1.85 | 33 |
 Liverpool | 67% | 6 (4) | 0.83 | 77 |
FK Qarabag's Last Match – FK Qarabag vs FK Kapaz
FK Qarabag must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-2 Azerbaijan Premier League defeat against FK Kapaz on January 24. In that match, FK Qarabag recorded 65% possession, firing 7 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 FK Qarabag | 65% | 0 (7) | - | 93 |
 FK Kapaz | 35% | 0 (2) | - | 26 |
Liverpool vs FK Qarabag Stats
Key Stats
| Liverpool | FK Qarabag | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.02 | Attacking Strength | 0.93 |
| 0.9 | Defence Strength | 1.25 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 2.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Liverpool are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while FK Qarabag average 2.2 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.