Our Lugano vs Winterthur Prediction: 3-1
Lugano vs Winterthur in the Switzerland Super League is scheduled for an 17:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 24, 2026. A 3-1 result in favor of the hosts is our top pick, yet with both sides creating chances, over 2.5 goals remains an appealing option.
This Lugano vs Winterthur prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Lugano's Last Match – Lucerne vs Lugano
Lugano will seek to keep their streak alive after a 5-2 Switzerland Super League victory over Lucerne on January 17. In that match, Lugano recorded 55% possession, firing 9 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lucerne | 45% | 9 (4) | 0.8 | 45 |
 Lugano | 55% | 9 (7) | 1.5 | 44 |
Winterthur's Last Match – FC Sion vs Winterthur
Winterthur will be looking to bounce back after a 0-2 Switzerland Super League defeat against FC Sion on January 14. In that match, Winterthur controlled 40% of possession and managed 5 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 FC Sion | 60% | 10 (6) | 0.95 | 68 |
 Winterthur | 40% | 5 (6) | 1.13 | 29 |
Lugano vs Winterthur Stats
Key Stats
| Lugano | Winterthur | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.09 | Attacking Strength | 0.67 |
| 0.82 | Defence Strength | 1.72 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 0.7 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lugano are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Winterthur average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded per game.
Lugano 18-10
Winterthur 12-22
What are the odds for this match?
Lugano to win: @1.363
Draw: @4.75
Winterthur to win: @7.5