Our Monaco vs Lyon Prediction: 2-1
Monaco vs Lyon in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 16:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 3, 2026. We expect a 2-1 home win, but with both teams proving their offensive capabilities, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Monaco vs Lyon prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Monaco's Last Match – Auxerre vs Monaco
Determined to maintain their recent success, Monaco must win following their 2-1 France Cup victory against Auxerre on December 21. In that match, Monaco saw 50% of the ball and 9 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Auxerre | 50% | 0 (6) | 1.59 | 32 |
 Monaco | 50% | 0 (9) | 2.89 | 51 |
Lyon's Last Match – Lyon vs FC St Cyr Collonges
Lyon will want to continue their winning form after a 3-0 France Cup victory over FC St Cyr Collonges, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Lyon recorded 72% possession, firing 20 shots at goal, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lyon | 72% | 20 (9) | - | 120 |
FC St Cyr Collonges | 28% | 3 (0) | - | 27 |
Monaco vs Lyon Stats
Key Stats
| Monaco | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.09 | Attacking Strength | 0.7 |
| 0.94 | Defence Strength | 0.85 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Monaco are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Lyon average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
Monaco 9-14
Lyon 17-7
What are the odds for this match?
Monaco to win: @2
Draw: @3.75
Lyon to win: @3.5
Lineups
Monaco (4-4-2) : Lukas Hradecky, Christian Mawissa, Thilo Kehrer, Mohammed Salisu, Caio Henrique, Mamadou Coulibaly, Jordan Teze, Aleksandr Golovin, Maghnes Akliouche, Mika Biereth, Folarin Balogun
Lyon (3-4-1-2) : Dominik Greif, Ruben Kluivert, Clinton Mata, Nicolas Tagliafico, Ainsley Maitland-Niles, Corentin Tolisso, Tyler Morton, Abner Vinicius, Khalis Merah, Afonso Bastardo Moreira, Pavel Sulc
PSG 
Lens 
Lyon 
Marseille 
Rennes 
Lille 
Monaco 
Strasbourg 
Toulouse 
Angers 
Lorient 
Brest 
Le Havre 
Nice 
Paris FC 
Auxerre 
Nantes 
Metz