Our Montpellier vs Lyon Prediction: 1-3
Montpellier vs Lyon in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday February 16, 2025. Our forecast points to a 1-3 away win, but considering both sides' recent goal-scoring trends, over 2.5 goals is also a smart choice.
This Montpellier vs Lyon prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Montpellier's Last Match – Strasbourg vs Montpellier
Montpellier will hope to recover from their recent 0-2 France Ligue 1 setback against Strasbourg on February 9. In that match, Montpellier saw 41% of the ball and created 10 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strasbourg | 59% | 14 (5) | 2.6 | 63 |
 Montpellier | 41% | 10 (3) | 1.88 | 36 |
Lyon's Last Match – Lyon vs Reims
Lyon will seek to keep their streak alive after a 4-0 France Ligue 1 victory over Reims on February 9. In that match, Lyon recorded 68% possession, attempting 12 shots on goal, with 8 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lyon | 68% | 12 (8) | 3.3 | 61 |
 Reims | 32% | 4 (2) | 0.35 | 37 |
Montpellier vs Lyon Stats
Key Stats
| Montpellier | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9 | Attacking Strength | 1.14 |
| 1.71 | Defence Strength | 0.77 |
| 0.8 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Montpellier are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Lyon average 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Montpellier 9-20
Lyon 14-10
What are the odds for this match?
Montpellier to win: @4.75
Draw: @4.5
Lyon to win: @1.6